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A growing narrative online suggests that Gavin Newsom would easily defeat JD Vance in a potential 2028 showdown—but the reality is far more competitive than that claim suggests.
Early polling actually shows a tight race, not a blowout. In one recent survey, Newsom led Vance 44% to 39%, but with a large number of undecided voters still in play. � Other polls have shown the opposite—Vance slightly ahead or the race essentially tied depending on timing and methodology.
What this tells us is simple:
There is no clear dominant candidate yet Public opinion is still very fluid And 2028 is WAY too early to call
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