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Difference between ‘cold blob’ and Super El Niño
El Niño refers to the unusually warm phase that occurs when surface waters in the Pacific Ocean heat up.
It happens when normal, east-to-west trade winds weaken or reverse, causing warm water to pool along the Americas and disrupt global weather, often causing heavy rains in some regions and severe droughts in others.
Europe’s most advanced long-range weather model — the ECMWF — has issued its May forecast showing a 100 percent chance of the strongest El Niño ever recorded forming by November 2026.
Unlike El Niño, a cold blob it may be a long-term climate change signal and could lead to colder European winters, rising sea levels and reduced rainfall in parts of Africa and Asia.